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529 vs Taxable Account Calculator

A 529 plan is a state-sponsored education savings account built around one promise in IRC §529: money inside the account grows tax-deferred, and withdrawals — including all the growth — come out completely tax-free when used for qualified education expenses. A regular brokerage or savings account enjoys no such treatment: dividends and interest are taxed every year, funds that trade produce distributed gains, and the final gain is taxed when you sell. Over a 15- or 18-year horizon, the compounding difference between untaxed and annually-taxed growth is usually the largest single factor in the comparison, bigger than fee differences or state tax credits.

The catch is what happens when the money is not used for education. A non-qualified withdrawal from a 529 plan taxes the earnings portion at your ordinary income rate and adds a 10% additional federal tax on those earnings — a penalty designed to punish conversions, not to generate revenue. Two important exceptions soften the edge: if the beneficiary earns a scholarship, you can withdraw up to the scholarship amount without the 10% penalty (the earnings are still taxed), and beneficiary changes to a sibling or other close family member, or rollovers within limits, keep the account qualified.

The trade-off is use restriction. Money in a taxable account can pay for anything — a car, a gap year, a down payment — with at most capital-gains tax on the profit. Money in a 529 plan is earmarked for education (tuition, fees, books, computers, and room and board within the school's cost of attendance; K-12 tuition up to a limited annual amount is also allowed under current law). If you are confident the funds will fund education, the 529's tax-free growth dominates; if the child may not attend college, the flexibility of taxable money is worth real money too. Some states add their own deductions or credits for contributions, which further favors the 529, while a few states restrict their benefit to their own plan.

This calculator projects both paths from the same contributions: the 529 compounds at the full return, while the taxable account loses an annual tax drag you specify. Withdrawals can be modeled as qualified or non-qualified, so you can see the penalty scenario before committing. The result is an educational estimate, not tax or investment advice: state tax treatment, fees, and federal rules on K-12 and rollover limits change with legislation, so confirm details with the IRS guidance or a CPA.

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Calculate

$
Lump sum invested today in either account.
$
Added every month until the horizon ends.
yr
Time horizon to the first withdrawal.
%
Gross return before any taxes, assumed identical in both accounts.
%/yr
Yearly tax cost from dividends and distributed gains, expressed as a percentage of the balance.
Non-qualified withdrawals tax the earnings and add the 10% additional tax.
%
Your marginal rate if the 529 earnings are withdrawn for non-qualified uses.
529 balance (qualified, tax-free)withdrawals for qualified education expenses owe no federal tax$145,574
Taxable account balanceafter a 1.0% annual tax drag$129,311
529 advantage12.6% more than the taxable account$16,263
Total contributions18 years of investing$74,800
529 tax-free earningsnever taxed when used for qualified expenses$70,774
Taxable-account earningsroughly $16,263 lost to the annual drag$54,511
Non-qualified penalty (10% of earnings)avoided entirely with qualified withdrawals$0
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How the math works

  • Both accounts compound the same monthly contributions at the same gross return.
  • The 529 compounds tax-free: the effective monthly rate is the full return ÷ 12.
  • The taxable account loses an annual tax drag (dividend and distributed-gain taxes), so its effective monthly rate is (return − drag) ÷ 12.
  • Qualified 529 withdrawals pay no federal tax. Non-qualified withdrawals pay ordinary income tax plus the 10% additional tax on the earnings portion only.

Frequently asked questions

What counts as qualified education expenses for a 529 plan?
Tuition, fees, books, supplies, and equipment for enrollment at an eligible college or university; computers and internet access; and room and board up to the school's cost of attendance for students enrolled at least half-time. Up to $10,000 per year of K-12 tuition and qualified student-loan repayments have also been permitted under recent law — check the current-year rules, which have changed several times.
What happens if my child gets a scholarship?
You can withdraw up to the scholarship amount penalty-free under IRC §529(c)(6) — the earnings portion is still taxed, but the 10% additional tax is waived. You can also change the beneficiary to a sibling or other eligible family member and keep the full tax-free treatment.
What is the penalty for non-qualified withdrawals?
The earnings portion of a non-qualified withdrawal is taxed as ordinary income and hit with a 10% additional federal tax. The contributions you made come out tax-free at any time — only the growth is exposed.
Are 529 contributions tax-deductible?
Not at the federal level, but many states offer a deduction or credit for contributions to their own plan, and a few extend it to any state's plan. Those benefits, along with the rules on recapture if you later roll to another state's plan, are worth checking for your state.
Does a 529 plan hurt financial aid?
A parent-owned 529 is reported as a parental asset and assessed lightly, and qualified withdrawals are generally excluded from income on the FAFSA under current rules. A grandparent-owned 529 used to trigger the harsher student-income assessment on withdrawal, though recent FAFSA simplification changed that treatment.
Who controls the money in a 529 plan?
The account owner, not the beneficiary. You keep control of the investments within the plan's menu, can change beneficiaries within the family, and decide when to withdraw — unlike an UTMA account, where the child takes control at the state's age of majority.
When is a taxable account better?
When the money may well be needed for non-education purposes — the 529's tax break is worthless if the withdrawal turns non-qualified — or when your state offers no benefit and your time horizon is short enough that the tax drag saves little. The break-even depends on the drag and the horizon, which you can test above.

This calculator is an educational estimate, not tax or investment advice. Both accounts are modeled with the same gross return and constant contributions, the tax drag is an approximation of dividends and distributed gains, and federal rules on qualified expenses, K-12 use, and penalties change with legislation. Confirm details with IRS Publication 970 or a CPA.